Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 14.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

6/10 under 14.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

4 quoted books: 14.5–14.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 6.8 → latest five: 6.6 opportunities/game. Change: -2.9%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

GameOpponentLongestTargetsCatches
2026-10-05CAR974
2026-09-27NYJ1387
2026-09-18BUF1286
2026-09-13NO1155
2026-01-04CHI1553
2025-12-25MIN1332
2025-12-21PIT161310
2025-12-14LAR1574
2025-12-05DAL2677
2025-11-27GB743

Compare books

draftkings · Over 14.5 (-109)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 14.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanatics · Over 14.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Over 14.5 (-130)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Over 14.5 (-130)Updated Oct 9, 2:23 PM ET

caesars · Under 14.5 (-102)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 14.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 14.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 14.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET