Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 26.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

6/10 under 26.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

2 quoted books: 26.5–26.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 6.8 → latest five: 3.8 targets/game. Change: -44.1%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026. Workload includes games for PIT and IND; team changes may affect usage.
L10 is mixed: 6/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	26.5	—	—
Novig ↗	26.5	-138	-120
PIN	26.5	-120	-110
PP ↗	26.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Targets12

Target share8%

Catch %58%

Yds / rec12.7

Season 2026: 7 rec · 89 yds · red-zone targets 0 (0% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	CLE	4	2	15	0
2026 · W3	CIN	5	2	16	0
2026 · W1	ATL	3	3	58	0
2025 · W18	HOU	4	2	11	0
2025 · W17	JAX	3	2	16	0
2025 · W16	SF	5	4	32	0
2025 · W15	SEA	5	3	26	0
2025 · W14	JAX	12	9	79	0
2025 · W13	HOU	4	1	13	0
2025 · W12	KC	8	5	27	1