No clear lean · Research notes

Over 1.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 1.5

2/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 2.4 → latest five: 3.2 targets/game. Change: +33.3%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus1.5-147+111
FD ↗1.5-148+112
CZR ↗1.5-148+113
DK1.5-142+111
Novig ↗1.5-135+122
HRB1.5-150+120
B3651.5-200—
MGM ↗1.5-160+120
FAN1.5-150+100
Underdog ↗2.5DFS projection · pick’em
Rec / game2.8
Targets15
Target share15%
Catch %73%
Season 2026: 11 rec · 171 yds · red-zone targets 2 (14% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4TEN22460
2026 · W3DAL32370
2026 · W2NO97881
2026 · W1IND1000
2025 · W17GB1170
2025 · W16NE2000
2025 · W14PIT32230
2025 · W13CIN1000
2025 · W10MIN21100
2025 · W9MIA42131