Over lean · Research notes

Recent results

5/5 over 6.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

9/10 over 6.5; 0 pushes. L10 supports L5. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

3 quoted books: 6.5–7.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 1.6 → latest five: 2 opportunities/game. Change: +25%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026. Workload includes games for HOU and DET; team changes may affect usage.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-09-27	IND	10	2	2
2026-09-20	CIN	8	2	2
2026-09-13	BUF	9	3	3
2026-01-04	CHI	13	1	1
2025-12-25	MIN	13	2	2
2025-12-14	LAR	0	1	0
2025-12-05	DAL	13	1	1
2025-11-27	GB	13	2	2
2025-11-23	NYG	9	3	3
2025-11-17	PHI	10	1	1

Compare books

fanduel · Over 6.5 (-106)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 7.5 (-105)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 7.5 (-111)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

draftkings · Under 7.5 (-116)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 7.5 (-125)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 6.5 (-125)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET