Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 3.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

8/10 under 3.5; 0 pushes. L10 supports L5. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

5 quoted books: 2.5–3.5. Selected threshold is better than the median quoted line.

Historical workload

Previous five: 3.2 → latest five: 3.6 targets/game. Change: +12.5%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus2.5-164+128
FD ↗2.5-172+128
Novig ↗2.5-139+117
DK2.5-164+128
FAN3.5+140-195
CZR ↗3.5+142-190
B3652.5-161—
Underdog ↗3.5DFS projection · pick’em
Rec / game3.0
Targets16
Target share14%
Catch %75%
Season 2026: 12 rec · 90 yds · red-zone targets 1 (7% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4BUF53271
2026 · W3JAX33160
2026 · W2PIT2130
2026 · W1SEA65440
2025 · W18MIA22223
2025 · W17NYJ55552
2025 · W16BAL32271
2025 · W15BUF33270
2025 · W13NYG33400
2025 · W12CIN2150