Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 21.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

6/10 under 21.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

3 quoted books: 21.5–21.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 6.6 → latest five: 5.4 opportunities/game. Change: -18.2%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026. Workload includes games for DEN and MIA; team changes may affect usage.
L10 is mixed: 6/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	SF	13	6	5
2026-09-28	LAR	9	7	2
2026-09-20	JAX	49	10	8
2026-09-15	KC	2	3	1
2025-12-28	TB	0	1	0
2025-12-21	CIN	21	9	5
2025-12-16	PIT	16	4	2
2025-12-07	NYJ	24	7	5
2025-11-30	NO	22	6	3
2025-11-16	WSH	31	7	3

Compare books

draftkings · Over 21.5 (-109)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 21.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Over 21.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 21.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 21.5 (-119)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 21.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET