No clear lean · Research notes

Over 55.5

3/5 recent hits; 3/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 56.5

2/5 recent hits; 7/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 2.4 → latest five: 8 targets/game. Change: +233.3%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus55.5-137-137
FD ↗55.5-114-114
FAN55.5-120-125
HRB56.5-115-115
Novig ↗55.5-113-111
DK56.5-112-112
MGM ↗56.5-115-115
PIN55.5-117-113
CIR55.5-110-110
PP ↗58.5DFS projection · pick’em
Targets37
Target share25%
Catch %49%
Yds / rec15.2
Season 2026: 18 rec · 274 yds · red-zone targets 5 (20% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4TB73211
2026 · W3ATL1251001
2026 · W2NYJ64580
2026 · W1MIN126950
2025 · W18MIN3180
2025 · W17BAL31120
2025 · W16CHI1000
2025 · W15DEN43550
2025 · W14CHI1000
2025 · W11NYG31240