3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.
2/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.
Previous five: 4.4 → latest five: 5.4 targets/game. Change: +22.7%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 25.5 | -115 | -115 |
| FD ↗ | 25.5 | -114 | -114 |
| MGM ↗ | 24.5 | -200 | — |
| CZR | 25.5 | -115 | -114 |
| DK | 25.5 | -111 | -113 |
| FAN | 25.5 | -120 | -125 |
| HRB | 25.5 | -115 | -115 |
| Novig ↗ | 25.5 | -113 | -104 |
| PIN | 25.5 | -115 | -115 |
| B365 | 26.5 | -116 | -116 |
| PP ↗ | 25.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | PHI | 6 | 5 | 67 | 0 |
| 2026 · W3 | DEN | 11 | 8 | 62 | 1 |
| 2026 · W1 | SF | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| 2025 · W18 | ARI | 6 | 5 | 91 | 1 |
| 2025 · W11 | SEA | 2 | 1 | 23 | 0 |
| 2025 · W10 | SF | 3 | 3 | 33 | 0 |
| 2025 · W9 | NO | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
| 2025 · W7 | JAX | 6 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
| 2025 · W6 | BAL | 4 | 4 | 40 | 1 |
| 2025 · W4 | IND | 5 | 2 | 25 | 0 |