No clear lean · Research notes

Over 22.5

2/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 23.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 3.6 → latest five: 6.2 opportunities/game. Change: +72.2%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026. Workload includes games for NE and GB; team changes may affect usage.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	BUF	15	9	6
2026-09-27	JAX	21	4	3
2026-09-20	PIT	63	4	3
2026-09-10	SEA	0	3	0
2026-01-11 PO	CHI	34	11	8
2025-12-28	BAL	40	3	3
2025-12-21	CHI	33	6	5
2025-12-14	DEN	26	3	2
2025-12-07	CHI	0	2	0
2025-11-27	DET	8	4	4

Compare books

fanduel · Over 22.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 22.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 23.5 (-109)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

draftkings · Under 23.5 (-119)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 22.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 22.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET