No clear lean · Research notes

Over 24.5

3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 25.5

2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 2.8 → latest five: 4.4 targets/game. Change: +57.1%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	25.5	-120	-110
FD ↗	25.5	-114	-114
FAN	25.5	-115	-135
HRB	25.5	-120	-110
CZR	25.5	-125	-108
MGM ↗	24.5	-115	-115
PIN	25.5	-119	-111
Novig ↗	25.5	-113	+100
PP ↗	25.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Targets12

Target share12%

Catch %75%

Yds / rec10.0

Season 2026: 9 rec · 90 yds · red-zone targets 2 (40% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W3	KC	7	5	55	0
2026 · W2	SF	3	2	17	0
2026 · W1	LV	2	2	18	0
2025 · W18	NE	4	3	31	0
2025 · W17	TB	6	5	58	1
2025 · W16	CIN	3	3	46	0
2025 · W15	PIT	2	2	46	0
2025 · W14	NYJ	3	3	41	0
2025 · W13	NO	2	2	24	0
2025 · W11	WAS	4	2	18	0