Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 10.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

8/10 under 10.5; 0 pushes. L10 supports L5. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

9 quoted books: 5.5–10.5. Selected threshold is better than the median quoted line.

Historical workload

Previous five: 1.4 → latest five: 0.8 targets/game. Change: -42.9%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus5.5-115-115
FD ↗5.5-114-114
MGM ↗6.5-115-115
CZR5.5-113-115
DK5.5-117-108
FAN10.5+145-230
HRB5.5-115-115
Novig ↗5.5-113-113
PIN5.5-114-114
B3655.5-116-116
PP ↗5.5DFS projection · pick’em
Targets3
Target share2%
Catch %67%
Yds / rec6.0
Season 2026: 2 rec · 12 yds · red-zone targets 0 (0% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4PHI2140
2026 · W1SF1180
2025 · W18ARI0000
2025 · W17ATL0000
2025 · W16SEA11190
2025 · W15DET1000
2025 · W14ARI1150
2025 · W13CAR1000
2025 · W12TB33170
2025 · W11SEA1190