No clear lean · Research notes

Over 14.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Historical workload

Previous five: 3.4 → latest five: 4.2 opportunities/game. Change: +23.5%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

GameOpponentLongestTargetsCatches
2026-10-02CLE1363
2026-09-27CIN3043
2026-09-20NE2642
2026-09-13ATL1865
2026-01-13 POHOU411
2026-01-05BAL1755
2025-12-21DET622
2025-12-16MIA1033
2025-12-07BAL3833
2025-11-30BUF742

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fanatics · Over 14.5 (+160)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET