Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

5/5 under 7.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

5/10 under 7.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

1 quoted books: 7.5–7.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 3.4 → latest five: 0.6 targets/game. Change: -82.4%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L10 is mixed: 5/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	7.5	—	—
B365	7.5	-116	-116
Underdog ↗	8.5	DFS projection · pick’em
PP ↗	8.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Targets3

Target share3%

Catch %33%

Yds / rec6.0

Season 2026: 1 rec · 6 yds · red-zone targets 0 (0% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	BUF	2	0	0	0
2026 · W3	JAX	1	1	6	0
2026 · W2	PIT	0	0	0	1
2025 · W18	MIA	0	0	0	2
2025 · W17	NYJ	0	0	0	0
2025 · W16	BAL	1	1	9	0
2025 · W15	BUF	3	2	13	2
2025 · W13	NYG	4	3	19	0
2025 · W12	CIN	4	3	15	0
2025 · W11	NYJ	5	5	31	3