No clear lean · Research notes

Over 26.5

3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 27.5

2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 11.8 → latest five: 12.6 opportunities/game. Change: +6.8%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	PHI	32	12	9
2026-09-11	SF	41	9	5
2026-01-25 PO	SEA	44	14	9
2026-01-18 PO	CHI	16	10	5
2026-01-10 PO	CAR	18	18	10
2026-01-04	ARI	17	11	10
2025-12-30	ATL	11	10	5
2025-12-19	SEA	58	16	12
2025-12-14	DET	39	11	9
2025-12-07	ARI	32	11	7

Compare books

draftkings · Over 26.5 (-119)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

fanduel · Over 27.5 (-108)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 27.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanatics · Over 29.5 (+120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 27.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 27.5 (-122)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 26.5 (-109)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET