No clear lean · Research notes

Over 12.5

3/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 13.5

2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 1.6 → latest five: 4 opportunities/game. Change: +150%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

GameOpponentLongestTargetsCatches
2026-10-04LAC2031
2026-09-27WSH932
2026-09-20ARI2363
2026-09-10NE431
2026-02-08 PONE1652
2026-01-25 POLAR5131
2026-01-18 POSF020
2026-01-04SF211
2025-12-28CAR811
2025-12-19LAR010

Compare books

hardrockbet · Over 12.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 12.5 (-123)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

novig · Over 12.5 (-135)Updated Oct 9, 2:23 PM ET

fanduel · Over 13.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Over 13.5 (-113)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanatics · Over 14.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 13.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Under 13.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 12.5 (-105)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 12.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET