No clear lean · Research notes

Over 18.5

3/5 recent hits; 7/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 19.5

3/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 5.4 → latest five: 7.4 opportunities/game. Change: +37%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

GameOpponentLongestTargetsCatches
2026-10-05CAR25138
2026-09-27NYJ2843
2026-09-18BUF1876
2026-09-13NO1985
2025-11-09WSH1455
2025-11-02MIN4086
2025-10-20TB933
2025-10-13KC2665
2025-10-05CIN3965
2025-09-28CLE2743

Compare books

fanduel · Over 18.5 (-130)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 19.5 (-105)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanatics · Over 19.5 (-105)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 19.5 (-111)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

caesars · Over 19.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Under 19.5 (-113)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 19.5 (-116)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 19.5 (-125)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 18.5 (-102)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET