Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 55.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

8/10 under 55.5; 0 pushes. L10 supports L5. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

7 quoted books: 53.5–55.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 6.6 → latest five: 5.4 targets/game. Change: -18.2%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus55.5-115-115
FD ↗55.5-114-114
Novig ↗55.5-122-108
FAN55.5-115-125
B36553.5-116-116
MGM ↗53.5-125-105
CIR55.5-110-110
HRB55.5—-115
Underdog ↗59.5DFS projection · pick’em
PP ↗54.5DFS projection · pick’em
Targets26
Target share21%
Catch %62%
Yds / rec11.6
Season 2026: 16 rec · 185 yds · red-zone targets 3 (16% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4SF65351
2026 · W3LA72100
2026 · W2JAX1081380
2026 · W1KC3120
2025 · W17TB1000
2025 · W16CIN95720
2025 · W15PIT42260
2025 · W14NYJ75501
2025 · W13NO63400
2025 · W11WAS73520