Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 14.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

7/10 under 14.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

4 quoted books: 13.5–14.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 6 → latest five: 5.6 opportunities/game. Change: -6.7%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L10 is mixed: 7/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	DEN	9	5	3
2026-09-27	ARI	13	5	4
2026-09-20	MIA	16	4	4
2026-09-11	LAR	8	8	5
2026-01-18 PO	SEA	11	6	5
2026-01-11 PO	PHI	29	8	6
2026-01-04	SEA	9	7	6
2025-12-29	CHI	18	6	4
2025-12-23	IND	10	8	6
2025-12-14	TEN	14	1	1

Compare books

fanduel · Over 13.5 (-128)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 14.5 (-109)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 14.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanatics · Over 14.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Over 14.5 (-127)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Under 14.5 (-105)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 14.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 14.5 (-119)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

fanduel · Under 13.5 (-104)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET