2/5 recent hits; 7/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.
3/5 recent hits; 3/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.
Previous five: 5 → latest five: 3.8 targets/game. Change: -24%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 16.5 | -115 | -115 |
| FD ↗ | 16.5 | -114 | -114 |
| MGM ↗ | 17.5 | -115 | -115 |
| CZR | 16.5 | -114 | -115 |
| DK | 16.5 | -113 | -111 |
| FAN | 15.5 | -135 | -110 |
| HRB | 16.5 | -115 | -115 |
| Novig ↗ | 16.5 | -113 | -113 |
| PIN | 16.5 | -114 | -114 |
| B365 | 17.5 | -116 | -116 |
| PP ↗ | 16.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W3 | DEN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 · W2 | NYG | 2 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
| 2026 · W1 | SF | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 2025 · W18 | ARI | 7 | 4 | 36 | 2 |
| 2025 · W17 | ATL | 7 | 6 | 53 | 0 |
| 2025 · W16 | SEA | 4 | 2 | 21 | 0 |
| 2025 · W15 | DET | 7 | 5 | 75 | 2 |
| 2025 · W14 | ARI | 5 | 3 | 32 | 1 |
| 2025 · W13 | CAR | 5 | 4 | 27 | 0 |
| 2025 · W12 | TB | 4 | 4 | 41 | 1 |