2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.
3/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.
Previous five: 9.2 → latest five: 7 targets/game. Change: -23.9%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 77.5 | -115 | -115 |
| B365 | 79.5 | -116 | — |
| DK | 78.5 | -112 | -112 |
| FAN | 75.5 | -125 | -115 |
| Novig ↗ | 77.5 | -120 | +102 |
| HRB | 77.5 | -115 | -115 |
| CZR | 78.5 | -120 | -112 |
| MGM ↗ | 76.5 | -115 | -115 |
| FD ↗ | 77.5 | -114 | -114 |
| PIN | 77.5 | -114 | -114 |
| CIR | 77.5 | -110 | -110 |
| Underdog ↗ | 79.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| PP ↗ | 79.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | DAL | 8 | 7 | 118 | 2 |
| 2026 · W1 | BUF | 10 | 7 | 75 | 1 |
| 2025 · W17 | LAC | 4 | 3 | 57 | 0 |
| 2025 · W16 | LV | 9 | 4 | 59 | 0 |
| 2025 · W15 | ARI | 4 | 3 | 85 | 2 |
| 2025 · W14 | KC | 8 | 4 | 121 | 0 |
| 2025 · W13 | IND | 10 | 5 | 98 | 1 |
| 2025 · W12 | BUF | 3 | 3 | 55 | 0 |
| 2025 · W11 | TEN | 10 | 9 | 92 | 1 |
| 2025 · W10 | JAX | 15 | 7 | 136 | 0 |