No clear lean · Research notes

Over 16.5

2/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 17.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 3.6 → latest five: 4 opportunities/game. Change: +11.1%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	BUF	20	5	5
2026-09-27	JAX	5	2	1
2026-09-20	PIT	29	5	3
2026-09-10	SEA	13	3	3
2026-02-08 PO	SEA	16	5	3
2026-01-25 PO	DEN	9	3	2
2026-01-18 PO	HOU	5	2	1
2026-01-12 PO	LAC	28	5	3
2026-01-04	MIA	29	5	5
2025-12-28	NYJ	23	3	3

Compare books

fanduel · Over 16.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Over 16.5 (-132)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 17.5 (-113)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 17.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 17.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 17.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Under 16.5 (-102)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 16.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET