No clear lean · Research notes

Over 1.5

2/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Under 1.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Historical workload

Previous five: 2.8 → latest five: 2 targets/game. Change: -28.6%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	1.5	-120	-110
FD ↗	1.5	-122	-108
CZR ↗	1.5	-121	-109
DK	1.5	-125	-102
FAN	1.5	-120	-120
HRB	1.5	-120	-110
Novig ↗	1.5	-121	-108
PIN	1.5	-122	-108
PP ↗	1.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Rec / game1.5

Targets10

Target share9%

Catch %60%

Season 2026: 6 rec · 24 yds · red-zone targets 2 (11% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	NE	2	2	8	1
2026 · W3	LAC	1	0	0	1
2026 · W2	DET	3	1	4	1
2026 · W1	HOU	4	3	12	0
2025 · W18	NYJ	0	0	0	0
2025 · W17	PHI	4	1	3	0
2025 · W16	CLE	2	1	17	2
2025 · W15	NE	3	2	4	3
2025 · W14	CIN	2	2	31	0
2025 · W13	PIT	3	3	33	0