No clear lean · Research notes

Over 5.5

1/5 recent hits; 2/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 6.4 → latest five: 6.6 targets/game. Change: +3.1%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	5.5	—	—
B365	5.5	+125	—

Rec / game3.3

Targets22

Target share17%

Catch %46%

Season 2026: 10 rec · 141 yds · red-zone targets 2 (13% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W3	SEA	9	6	77	1
2026 · W2	DAL	9	2	50	0
2026 · W1	PHI	4	2	14	0
2025 · W18	PHI	4	4	57	0
2025 · W17	DAL	7	5	63	0
2025 · W16	PHI	4	3	53	0
2025 · W15	NYG	4	3	69	1
2025 · W14	MIN	6	3	41	0
2025 · W13	DEN	14	7	96	1
2025 · W8	KC	4	3	54	1