Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 10.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

9/10 under 10.5; 0 pushes. L10 supports L5. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

8 quoted books: 9.5–10.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 0 → latest five: 1.6 targets/game. Percentage change is undefined because the previous-five average is zero.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus9.5-137-137
FD ↗9.5-114-114
HRB9.5-110-120
FAN10.5+100-150
CZR ↗9.5-109-120
DK9.5-106-119
PIN9.5-114-116
MGM ↗10.5-111-120
Novig ↗9.5-108-113
Underdog ↗9.5DFS projection · pick’em
PP ↗9.5DFS projection · pick’em
Targets8
Target share7%
Catch %88%
Yds / rec7.4
Season 2026: 7 rec · 52 yds · red-zone targets 1 (5% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4LAC1120
2026 · W3WAS55480
2026 · W2ARI1120
2026 · W1NE1000
2025 · W11LA0000
2025 · W10ARI0001
2025 · W9WAS0000
2025 · W7HOU0000
2025 · W6JAX0000
2025 · W5TB0000