No clear lean · Research notes

Over 30.5

3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. Line advantage qualifies.

Under 33.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 5 → latest five: 4.8 targets/game. Change: -4%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus33.5-137-137
DK31.5-113-111
FAN30.5-135-110
HRB32.5-115-115
Novig ↗33.5+108-120
CZR32.5-102-128
FD ↗33.5-114-114
PIN33.5+104-138
MGM ↗33.5-110-120
PP ↗33.5DFS projection · pick’em
Underdog ↗33.5DFS projection · pick’em
Targets18
Target share18%
Catch %78%
Yds / rec11.9
Season 2026: 14 rec · 167 yds · red-zone targets 2 (12% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4CIN87950
2026 · W3NE53320
2026 · W2DEN22170
2026 · W1CLE32231
2025 · W18TEN66521
2025 · W17IND53540
2025 · W16DEN75391
2025 · W15NYJ31260
2025 · W14IND63270
2025 · W13TEN43451