No clear lean · Research notes

Over 21.5

3/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 21.5

2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 6 → latest five: 6.4 opportunities/game. Change: +6.7%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

GameOpponentLongestTargetsCatches
2026-10-04WSH943
2026-09-27HOU24115
2026-09-21KC2097
2026-09-13BAL2542
2026-01-04HOU3044
2025-12-28JAX1852
2025-12-23SF1895
2025-12-14SEA853
2025-12-07JAX1254
2025-11-30HOU3462

Compare books

hardrockbet · Over 21.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 21.5 (-117)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

fanatics · Over 24.5 (+125)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 21.5 (-111)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 21.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET