No clear lean · Research notes

Over 5.5

2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Under 5.5

3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Historical workload

Previous five: 9.2 → latest five: 7 targets/game. Change: -23.9%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus5.5-115-115
B3655.5-116—
DK5.5-128+100
HRB5.5-115-115
Novig ↗5.5+100-113
MGM ↗5.5-118-111
CZR ↗5.5-118-110
FD ↗5.5-114-114
PIN5.5-106-125
FAN5.5-120-125
Underdog ↗5.5DFS projection · pick’em
PP ↗5.5DFS projection · pick’em
Rec / game7.0
Targets18
Target share13%
Catch %78%
Season 2026: 14 rec · 193 yds · red-zone targets 3 (21% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4DAL871182
2026 · W1BUF107751
2025 · W17LAC43570
2025 · W16LV94590
2025 · W15ARI43852
2025 · W14KC841210
2025 · W13IND105981
2025 · W12BUF33550
2025 · W11TEN109921
2025 · W10JAX1571360