No clear lean · Research notes

Over 55.5

3/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 58.5

2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 6 → latest five: 6.4 targets/game. Change: +6.7%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	58.5	-115	-115
FD ↗	58.5	-114	-114
Novig ↗	58.5	+113	-122
HRB	57.5	-115	-115
CZR	57.5	-114	-115
FAN	55.5	-120	-125
B365	56.5	-116	-116
PIN	58.5	-106	-125
MGM ↗	55.5	-115	-115
PP ↗	58.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Targets28

Target share23%

Catch %61%

Yds / rec11.9

Season 2026: 17 rec · 202 yds · red-zone targets 4 (29% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	WAS	4	3	16	0
2026 · W3	HOU	11	5	77	0
2026 · W2	KC	9	7	72	0
2026 · W1	BAL	4	2	37	0
2025 · W18	HOU	4	4	61	0
2025 · W17	JAX	5	2	34	0
2025 · W16	SF	9	5	65	0
2025 · W15	SEA	5	3	13	1
2025 · W14	JAX	5	4	23	0
2025 · W13	HOU	6	2	44	0