No clear lean · Research notes

Over 20.5

2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 22.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 3 → latest five: 3 targets/game. Change: 0%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	22.5	-115	-115
FD ↗	22.5	-114	-114
Novig ↗	22.5	-113	-108
CZR	22.5	-114	-114
FAN	20.5	-135	-115
PIN	22.5	-119	-111
HRB	22.5	-115	-115
MGM ↗	22.5	-115	-115
PP ↗	22.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Targets13

Target share9%

Catch %69%

Yds / rec13.2

Season 2026: 9 rec · 119 yds · red-zone targets 2 (12% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	CLE	5	3	27	1
2026 · W3	CIN	4	3	67	0
2026 · W2	NE	2	1	7	0
2026 · W1	ATL	2	2	18	0
2025 · W17	CLE	2	2	15	0
2025 · W16	DET	4	3	36	0
2025 · W15	MIA	4	3	25	0
2025 · W14	BAL	1	1	12	0
2025 · W13	BUF	4	2	45	0
2025 · W12	CHI	2	2	22	0