Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 18.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

5/10 under 18.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

4 quoted books: 17.5–18.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 8.6 → latest five: 5.4 opportunities/game. Change: -37.2%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L10 is mixed: 5/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	SF	4	6	1
2026-09-28	LAR	27	7	3
2026-09-20	JAX	10	4	3
2026-09-15	KC	6	5	2
2026-01-25 PO	NE	6	5	3
2026-01-17 PO	BUF	25	9	4
2026-01-04	LAC	5	2	1
2025-12-26	KC	23	10	4
2025-12-21	JAX	21	12	6
2025-12-14	GB	42	10	7

Compare books

caesars · Over 17.5 (-117)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Over 17.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 18.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 18.5 (-116)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

draftkings · Under 18.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 18.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 17.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Under 17.5 (-114)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET