No clear lean · Research notes

Over 6.5

3/5 recent hits; 7/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 7.5

2/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. Line advantage qualifies.

Historical workload

Previous five: 9.6 → latest five: 10 targets/game. Change: +4.2%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus6.5-137-137
FD ↗6.5-130-102
Novig ↗6.5-122+108
HRB6.5-125-105
CZR ↗6.5-129-102
DK6.5-118-108
PIN6.5-129-102
B3656.5-125-105
FAN6.5-135-120
MGM ↗7.5+125-165
PP ↗6.5DFS projection · pick’em
Underdog ↗7.5DFS projection · pick’em
Rec / game8.0
Targets42
Target share37%
Catch %76%
Season 2026: 32 rec · 481 yds · red-zone targets 10 (48% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4LAC65760
2026 · W3WAS14101282
2026 · W2ARI1191553
2026 · W1NE1181221
2025 · W18SF86840
2025 · W17CAR129720
2025 · W16LA138961
2025 · W15IND971130
2025 · W14ATL107922
2025 · W13MIN42230