No clear lean · Research notes

Over 29.5

2/5 recent hits; 3/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 31.5

3/5 recent hits; 7/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 4.2 → latest five: 5.4 targets/game. Change: +28.6%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus30.5-111-113
FD ↗31.5-114-114
CZR30.5-114-114
FAN30.5-125-115
HRB30.5-115-115
B36531.5-116-116
DK30.5-111-113
MGM ↗29.5-115-115
PP ↗29.5DFS projection · pick’em
Targets24
Target share24%
Catch %75%
Yds / rec8.3
Season 2026: 18 rec · 149 yds · red-zone targets 3 (21% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4TEN65271
2026 · W3DAL53240
2026 · W2NO76490
2026 · W1IND64490
2025 · W18PIT32140
2025 · W17GB44280
2025 · W16NE32210
2025 · W15CIN32180
2025 · W14PIT5190
2025 · W13CIN64470