2/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.
3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.
Previous five: 8.2 → latest five: 6.6 targets/game. Change: -19.5%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 80.5 | -127 | -115 |
| FD ↗ | 80.5 | -114 | -114 |
| Novig ↗ | 80.5 | +102 | -115 |
| HRB | 80.5 | -115 | -115 |
| CZR | 80.5 | -121 | -111 |
| FAN | 80.5 | -120 | -125 |
| B365 | 81.5 | -125 | -105 |
| PIN | 80.5 | -116 | -114 |
| MGM ↗ | 81.5 | -115 | -115 |
| CIR | 80.5 | -110 | -110 |
| Underdog ↗ | 82.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| PP ↗ | 80.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | NO | 6 | 5 | 96 | 0 |
| 2026 · W3 | GB | 10 | 9 | 194 | 0 |
| 2026 · W2 | CAR | 5 | 4 | 51 | 0 |
| 2026 · W1 | PIT | 4 | 2 | 29 | 0 |
| 2025 · W18 | NO | 8 | 4 | 78 | 1 |
| 2025 · W17 | LA | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 2025 · W16 | ARI | 8 | 3 | 27 | 0 |
| 2025 · W11 | CAR | 9 | 7 | 119 | 0 |
| 2025 · W10 | IND | 8 | 6 | 104 | 1 |
| 2025 · W9 | NE | 14 | 9 | 118 | 3 |