3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.
2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.
Previous five: 3.8 → latest five: 6.2 targets/game. Change: +63.2%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 27.5 | -115 | -115 |
| FD ↗ | 27.5 | -114 | -114 |
| Novig ↗ | 27.5 | -111 | -113 |
| HRB | 27.5 | -115 | -115 |
| CZR | 27.5 | -112 | -118 |
| DK | 26.5 | -111 | -113 |
| FAN | 25.5 | -135 | -115 |
| PIN | 27.5 | -114 | -114 |
| B365 | 27.5 | -116 | -116 |
| PP ↗ | 27.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | SF | 10 | 10 | 68 | 0 |
| 2026 · W3 | LA | 7 | 6 | 41 | 0 |
| 2026 · W1 | KC | 4 | 4 | 23 | 0 |
| 2025 · W18 | LAC | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 2025 · W17 | KC | 6 | 5 | 33 | 1 |
| 2025 · W16 | JAX | 5 | 4 | 71 | 1 |
| 2025 · W15 | GB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 · W14 | LV | 6 | 6 | 25 | 1 |
| 2025 · W13 | WAS | 4 | 3 | 27 | 2 |
| 2025 · W11 | KC | 3 | 3 | 20 | 0 |