No clear lean · Research notes

Over 2.5

2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 2.5

3/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 3.6 → latest five: 3.4 targets/game. Change: -5.6%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus2.5-115-115
B3652.5-132—
FD ↗2.5-110-120
Novig ↗2.5-102-106
HRB2.5-115-115
CZR ↗2.5-117-113
DK2.5-113-113
FAN2.5-110-125
MGM ↗2.5+100-135
PIN2.5-114-116
Underdog ↗2.5DFS projection · pick’em
PP ↗2.5DFS projection · pick’em
Rec / game2.5
Targets15
Target share12%
Catch %67%
Season 2026: 10 rec · 69 yds · red-zone targets 1 (7% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4WAS4122
2026 · W3HOU3240
2026 · W2KC44402
2026 · W1BAL43232
2025 · W18HOU22130
2025 · W17JAX63141
2025 · W16SF33331
2025 · W15SEA43140
2025 · W14JAX0001
2025 · W13HOU53360