No clear lean · Research notes

Over 1.5

2/5 recent hits; 2/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 1.5

3/5 recent hits; 8/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 0.4 → latest five: 2 targets/game. Change: +400%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026. Workload includes games for LV and SEA; team changes may affect usage.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	1.5	-137	-137
FD ↗	1.5	-148	+112
CZR ↗	1.5	-137	+105
FAN	1.5	-135	-105
DK	1.5	-142	+111
PIN	1.5	-130	-102
B365	1.5	-135	—
HRB	1.5	-135	+105
Novig ↗	1.5	-127	+111
Underdog ↗	2.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Rec / game1.3

Targets10

Target share7%

Catch %50%

Season 2026: 5 rec · 64 yds · red-zone targets 5 (23% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	KC	4	2	36	0
2026 · W3	NO	3	1	4	1
2026 · W2	LAC	2	2	24	2
2026 · W1	MIA	1	0	0	0
2025 · W16	LA	0	0	0	0
2025 · W14	ATL	1	1	9	0
2025 · W13	MIN	1	1	21	0
2025 · W12	TEN	0	0	0	0
2025 · W11	LA	0	0	0	0
2025 · W10	ARI	0	0	0	0