Over lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 over 7.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

5/10 over 7.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

5 quoted books: 7.5–7.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 1.6 → latest five: 1.6 opportunities/game. Change: 0%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L10 is mixed: 5/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	CIN	9	2	2
2026-09-27	NE	15	2	2
2026-09-20	DEN	0	2	2
2026-09-13	CLE	22	1	1
2025-12-14	NYJ	16	1	1
2025-11-30	TEN	2	1	1
2025-11-23	ARI	0	1	0
2025-11-09	HOU	5	2	1
2025-11-02	LV	-3	1	1
2025-10-12	SEA	8	3	2

Compare books

fanduel · Over 7.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Over 7.5 (-113)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 7.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 7.5 (-123)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

novig · Over 7.5 (-144)Updated Oct 9, 2:23 PM ET

draftkings · Under 7.5 (-105)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 7.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 7.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Under 7.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET