2/5 recent hits; 7/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.
3/5 recent hits; 3/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.
Previous five: 8 → latest five: 4.2 targets/game. Change: -47.5%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 3.5 | -125 | -105 |
| FD ↗ | 3.5 | -122 | -106 |
| Novig ↗ | 3.5 | -108 | +100 |
| CZR ↗ | 3.5 | -127 | -104 |
| HRB | 3.5 | -125 | -105 |
| DK | 3.5 | -124 | -103 |
| B365 | 3.5 | -132 | — |
| PIN | 3.5 | -125 | -106 |
| FAN | 3.5 | -120 | -120 |
| MGM ↗ | 3.5 | -125 | -105 |
| PP ↗ | 3.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Underdog ↗ | 3.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | CIN | 4 | 3 | 33 | 0 |
| 2026 · W3 | NE | 8 | 7 | 64 | 1 |
| 2026 · W2 | DEN | 1 | 1 | 28 | 0 |
| 2026 · W1 | CLE | 2 | 2 | 40 | 1 |
| 2025 · W18 | TEN | 6 | 5 | 44 | 0 |
| 2025 · W17 | IND | 9 | 6 | 39 | 0 |
| 2025 · W16 | DEN | 8 | 4 | 45 | 0 |
| 2025 · W15 | NYJ | 7 | 5 | 71 | 0 |
| 2025 · W14 | IND | 10 | 4 | 39 | 1 |
| 2025 · W13 | TEN | 6 | 6 | 90 | 1 |