No clear lean · Research notes

Over 15.5

3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 17.5

2/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 4 → latest five: 4 targets/game. Change: 0%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus17.5-110-120
FD ↗17.5-114-114
HRB17.5-110-120
Novig ↗17.5+113-115
DK17.5-107-117
FAN15.5-125-115
CZR16.5-120-111
PIN17.5+101-133
PP ↗17.5DFS projection · pick’em
Targets10
Target share9%
Catch %50%
Yds / rec22.6
Season 2026: 5 rec · 113 yds · red-zone targets 5 (36% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4BAL11220
2026 · W3NYG31110
2026 · W2PHI32690
2026 · W1NYJ31111
2025 · W18JAX103500
2025 · W17NO74371
2025 · W16KC43580
2025 · W15SF11170
2025 · W14CLE31141
2025 · W13JAX5150