Over lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 over 23.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

6/10 over 23.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

4 quoted books: 23.5–24.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 7.2 → latest five: 6.6 opportunities/game. Change: -8.3%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L10 is mixed: 6/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	TEN	52	10	8
2026-09-27	DAL	27	6	5
2026-09-13	IND	54	6	5
2026-01-05	PIT	64	6	4
2025-12-28	GB	13	5	4
2025-12-22	NE	19	7	7
2025-12-14	CIN	28	5	3
2025-12-07	PIT	35	11	8
2025-11-28	CIN	5	7	2
2025-11-23	NYJ	20	6	5

Compare books

draftkings · Over 23.5 (-108)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 23.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:25 PM ET

caesars · Over 23.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Over 24.5 (-108)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 24.5 (-122)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Under 23.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 23.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 23.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:25 PM ET