2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. Line advantage qualifies. Workload supports this side.
3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.
Previous five: 5.4 → latest five: 6 targets/game. Change: +11.1%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 43.5 | -115 | -115 |
| FD ↗ | 43.5 | -114 | -114 |
| HRB | 43.5 | -115 | -115 |
| FAN | 40.5 | -140 | -110 |
| MGM ↗ | 49.5 | -125 | — |
| Novig ↗ | 43.5 | -111 | -113 |
| PIN | 43.5 | -114 | -114 |
| PP ↗ | 43.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | NE | 8 | 7 | 82 | 0 |
| 2026 · W3 | LAC | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 2026 · W2 | DET | 6 | 3 | 38 | 0 |
| 2026 · W1 | HOU | 6 | 4 | 50 | 0 |
| 2025 · W17 | PHI | 7 | 6 | 35 | 0 |
| 2025 · W16 | CLE | 5 | 4 | 34 | 0 |
| 2025 · W15 | NE | 5 | 5 | 65 | 0 |
| 2025 · W14 | CIN | 3 | 2 | 16 | 1 |
| 2025 · W13 | PIT | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 2025 · W12 | HOU | 10 | 8 | 110 | 0 |