Over lean · Research notes

Recent results

5/5 over 17.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

7/10 over 17.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

3 quoted books: 17.5–17.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 6 → latest five: 6.4 opportunities/game. Change: +6.7%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L10 is mixed: 7/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-06	ATL	23	8	6
2026-09-27	LV	22	8	8
2026-09-20	BAL	25	4	4
2026-09-13	DET	27	7	3
2026-01-04	ATL	28	5	3
2025-12-28	TEN	39	4	4
2025-12-21	NYJ	31	9	8
2025-12-14	CAR	12	4	4
2025-12-07	TB	12	4	4
2025-11-30	MIA	11	9	5

Compare books

fanduel · Over 17.5 (-108)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 17.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Over 17.5 (-121)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 17.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Under 17.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 17.5 (-122)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET