No clear lean · Research notes

Over 18.5

3/5 recent hits; 3/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 20.5

3/5 recent hits; 8/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 2.2 → latest five: 4.2 targets/game. Change: +90.9%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026. Workload includes games for ATL and PHI; team changes may affect usage.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	19.5	-112	-112
FD ↗	19.5	-114	-114
Novig ↗	19.5	-113	+102
HRB	19.5	-115	-115
FAN	20.5	-105	-140
B365	20.5	-116	-116
DK	19.5	-112	-112
PIN	19.5	-115	-115
MGM ↗	18.5	-115	-115
PP ↗	19.5	DFS projection · pick’em
Underdog ↗	19.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Targets13

Target share14%

Catch %46%

Yds / rec15.8

Season 2026: 6 rec · 95 yds · red-zone targets 0 (0% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	NO	3	2	54	1
2026 · W3	GB	3	1	11	0
2026 · W2	CAR	4	2	11	0
2026 · W1	PIT	3	1	19	0
2025 · W18	WAS	8	3	40	0
2025 · W17	BUF	1	0	0	0
2025 · W16	WAS	3	3	13	0
2025 · W14	LAC	3	1	3	0
2025 · W13	CHI	3	1	12	0
2025 · W12	DAL	1	0	0	0