No clear lean · Research notes

Over 7.5

2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 7.5

3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Historical workload

Previous five: 3.6 → latest five: 3.2 opportunities/game. Change: -11.1%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	PHI	7	3	1
2026-09-28	DEN	48	8	4
2026-09-22	NYG	12	2	1
2026-09-11	SF	0	1	0
2026-01-25 PO	SEA	0	2	0
2026-01-18 PO	CHI	6	3	2
2026-01-10 PO	CAR	11	1	1
2026-01-04	ARI	0	1	0
2025-12-30	ATL	6	5	2
2025-12-19	SEA	19	8	3

Compare books

fanduel · Over 7.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 7.5 (-113)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

fanatics · Over 9.5 (+120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 7.5 (-114)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

fanduel · Under 7.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET