Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 36.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

4/10 under 36.5; 0 pushes. L10 conflicts with L5. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

7 quoted books: 35.5–36.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 9.6 → latest five: 4.8 targets/game. Change: -50%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L10 conflicts with L5: 4/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	36.5	-115	-115
FD ↗	36.5	-114	-114
HRB	36.5	-115	-115
Novig ↗	36.5	-113	+108
CZR	36.5	-112	-117
FAN	35.5	-115	-125
PIN	36.5	-114	-114
B365	36.5	-116	-116
PP ↗	36.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Targets22

Target share18%

Catch %41%

Yds / rec9.6

Season 2026: 9 rec · 86 yds · red-zone targets 5 (26% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	SF	6	1	4	0
2026 · W3	LA	7	3	46	0
2026 · W2	JAX	4	3	25	0
2026 · W1	KC	5	2	11	0
2025 · W18	LAC	2	1	5	0
2025 · W17	KC	10	4	40	0
2025 · W16	JAX	12	6	86	1
2025 · W15	GB	10	7	113	1
2025 · W14	LV	10	6	62	0
2025 · W13	WAS	6	5	62	1