No clear lean · Research notes

Over 23.5

3/5 recent hits; 3/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 24.5

2/5 recent hits; 7/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 0 → latest five: 2 targets/game. Percentage change is undefined because the previous-five average is zero.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus24.5-137-137
FD ↗23.5-114-114
CZR24.5-130+100
DK24.5-112-111
Novig ↗23.5-119+108
B36524.5-116-116
MGM ↗24.5-150—
PP ↗24.5DFS projection · pick’em
Underdog ↗24.5DFS projection · pick’em
Targets7
Target share6%
Catch %57%
Yds / rec10.3
Season 2026: 4 rec · 41 yds · red-zone targets 1 (7% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4BUF42421
2026 · W3JAX2110
2026 · W2PIT11-20
2025 · W18MIA11350
2025 · W17NYJ22401
2025 · W13NYG0000
2025 · W11NYJ0000
2025 · W10TB0000
2025 · W9ATL0000
2025 · W7TEN0000