No clear lean · Research notes

Over 8.5

2/5 recent hits; 6/9 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 9.5

3/5 recent hits; 3/9 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Latest five: 2.4 opportunities/game. 9/10 qualifying games available; two complete five-game windows are needed for a workload change.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	LAC	6	1	1
2026-09-27	WSH	17	3	3
2025-11-03	WSH	25	4	4
2025-10-21	HOU	0	3	0
2025-10-12	JAX	0	1	0
2025-10-05	TB	21	4	3
2025-09-26	ARI	10	2	1
2025-09-21	NO	14	4	3
2025-09-14	PIT	21	4	2

Compare books

caesars · Over 8.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 9.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 9.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

draftkings · Under 9.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 9.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Under 8.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET