No clear lean · Research notes

Over 10.5

2/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 11.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Historical workload

Previous five: 2.8 → latest five: 2.4 targets/game. Change: -14.3%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	11.5	-137	-137
FD ↗	11.5	-114	-114
FAN	10.5	-125	-115
HRB	11.5	-115	-115
DK	11.5	-109	-115
PIN	11.5	-114	-114
Novig ↗	11.5	-113	-113
PP ↗	11.5	DFS projection · pick’em
Underdog ↗	9.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Targets4

Target share4%

Catch %100%

Yds / rec13.5

Season 2026: 4 rec · 54 yds · red-zone targets 1 (5% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	LAC	1	1	6	1
2026 · W3	WAS	3	3	48	0
2025 · W9	WAS	4	4	48	2
2025 · W7	HOU	3	0	0	0
2025 · W6	JAX	1	0	0	0
2025 · W5	TB	4	3	39	1
2025 · W4	ARI	2	1	10	0
2025 · W3	NO	4	3	32	1
2025 · W2	PIT	4	2	32	1
2025 · W1	SF	0	0	0	0