No clear lean · Research notes

Over 23.5

2/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 23.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 10 → latest five: 12.2 opportunities/game. Change: +22%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-05	CAR	19	11	8
2026-09-27	NYJ	16	8	4
2026-09-18	BUF	34	13	9
2026-09-13	NO	19	14	10
2026-01-04	CHI	30	15	11
2025-12-25	MIN	23	13	8
2025-12-21	PIT	24	9	4
2025-12-14	LAR	52	18	13
2025-12-05	DAL	37	9	6
2025-11-27	GB	0	1	0

Compare books

draftkings · Over 23.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

fanduel · Over 23.5 (-114)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 23.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Over 23.5 (-121)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanatics · Over 24.5 (+125)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Under 23.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 23.5 (-114)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 23.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 23.5 (-117)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET