No clear lean · Research notes

Over 8.5

2/5 recent hits; 3/7 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 8.5

3/5 recent hits; 4/7 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Latest five: 2.4 opportunities/game. 7/10 qualifying games available; two complete five-game windows are needed for a workload change.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

GameOpponentLongestTargetsCatches
2026-10-02PIT522
2026-09-27CAR1054
2026-09-20TB711
2026-09-13JAX1133
2026-01-04CIN711
2025-12-28PIT1021
2025-12-21BUF411

Compare books

hardrockbet · Over 8.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 8.5 (-121)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

draftkings · Under 8.5 (-107)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 8.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET